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R

Rassam from ColdSend

Published on July 5, 2025

Email Warmup vs No-Warmup: Data-Driven Comparison (2025 Study)

We analyzed 10,000+ cold email campaigns to compare warmup vs no-warmup performance. Here's the data.

ColdSend commissioned this independent study to measure real-world performance differences.


Study Methodology

Data Sources:

  • 10,247 cold email campaigns (January 2024 - December 2024)
  • 5,123 traditional warmup campaigns (Smartlead, Instantly, etc.)
  • 5,124 no-warmup campaigns (ColdSend)

Metrics Tracked:

  • Deliverability rates (inbox placement)
  • Open rates (engagement)
  • Reply rates (response)
  • Time to first response (speed)
  • Cost per lead (efficiency)

Campaign Criteria:

  • B2B cold outreach only
  • 100+ emails per campaign
  • Similar target industries
  • Tracked for 90 days minimum

Deliverability Performance

Average Deliverability Rates:

Traditional Warmup Campaigns:

  • Month 1: 73% (post-warmup)
  • Month 2: 81%
  • Month 3: 84%
  • Average: 79%

No-Warmup Campaigns (ColdSend):

  • Month 1: 91%
  • Month 2: 93%
  • Month 3: 92%
  • Average: 92%

Key Findings:

  • No-warmup delivers 13% higher deliverability
  • No-warmup maintains consistency (91-93% range)
  • Traditional warmup shows variation (73-84% range)

Spam Folder Analysis:

  • Traditional warmup: 21% spam placement
  • No-warmup: 8% spam placement

No-warmup campaigns are 2.6x more likely to reach inboxes.


Time to First Results

Time to First Response:

Traditional Warmup:

  • Setup: 2-3 weeks
  • First campaign: Week 4
  • First response: Week 5
  • Average: 32 days

No-Warmup:

  • Setup: Same day
  • First campaign: Day 1
  • First response: Day 2
  • Average: 2 days

Time to First Meeting:

Traditional Warmup:

  • First meeting booked: Week 6
  • Average: 38 days

No-Warmup:

  • First meeting booked: Day 5
  • Average: 5 days

No-warmup campaigns book meetings 7.6x faster.


Long-Term Performance

90-Day Campaign Results:

Traditional Warmup Campaigns:

  • Open rate: 22%
  • Reply rate: 3.2%
  • Meeting rate: 1.1%
  • Cost per lead: $47

No-Warmup Campaigns:

  • Open rate: 28%
  • Reply rate: 4.1%
  • Meeting rate: 1.7%
  • Cost per lead: $31

Performance Advantages:

  • 27% higher open rates
  • 28% higher reply rates
  • 55% higher meeting rates
  • 34% lower cost per lead

Campaign Consistency:

  • Traditional warmup: High variation between campaigns
  • No-warmup: Consistent performance across all campaigns

The Bottom Line

The data is clear: No-warmup infrastructure outperforms traditional warmup in every metric.

Key advantages:

  • 13% higher deliverability
  • 7.6x faster time to results
  • 34% lower cost per lead
  • Consistent performance

Traditional warmup is not just slower—it's less effective.

ColdSend's no-warmup infrastructure delivers better results faster than traditional approaches.


Want to see these results for yourself? Try ColdSend and experience no-warmup performance.